Principal Reports And Publications
"A Longer and More Careful Look at the Fifties, a Bayesian Analysis of Economic Growth," with Arnold B. Moore. Working Paper of the Management Science Nucleus, the University of California, Berkeley, 1960.
A Time Series and Cross-sectional Analysis of the Effects of Expenditures on Wildland Fire Protection in California 1945-1955. Working Paper of the Department of Forestry, the University of California, Berkeley, and published report of the California Division of Forestry.
"An Algorithm For Estimating Optimum Spare Parts Inventories For the Polaris System." Report to the Special Projects Office, U.S. Navy, 1961.
Naval Warfare Analysis Group Study 29. The Costs and Benefits of Providing a Reload Capability for the Polaris System. CNA, 1962.
Naval Warfare Analysis Group Study 16. An analysis of the Supersonic Nuclear Powered Low-Altitude Strategic Cruise Missile Program, with David B. Kassing, Daniel Levine and Arnold B. Moore. CNA, 1963.
Naval Warfare Analysis Group Study 30. A Comparative Analysis of the Effectiveness and Costs of Land-Based and Sea-Based Tactical Air. Project Director and senior author. CNA 1964.
"Memorandum for the President of The United States: U.S. Tactical Air Programs FY 1967-1972." 68 pages, 1966.
"Projected Aircraft Attrition in Viet Nam, A Learning Curve Analysis." Memorandum for the Secretary of Defense, 48 pages, 1966.
"A Linear Programming Approach to the Selection of Single-Purpose versus Multi-Purpose Tactical Aircraft." Memorandum for the Assistant Secretary of Defense for Systems Analysis, 157 pages, 1967.
"A Network Approach to the Reliability of the TYPHON Fleet Air Defense System." Memorandum for the Assistant Secretary of Defense for Systems Analysis, 42 pages, 1966.
"The Benefits and Costs of Nuclear Propulsion in Aircraft Carriers." Memorandum for the Secretary of Defense, 66 pages, 1967.
"The Role of Supersonic Low-Altitude Speed in Aircraft Survivability in Combat." Memorandum for the Assistant Secretary of Defense for Systems Analysis, 157 pages, 1966.
"Systematic Behavior in Thrown Away Intelligence," with others. Report to the Director of Defense Research and Engineering, 1972.
Developing an Efficient Intelligence Collection Strategy against a Particular Class of Targets. Report to the Assistant Secretary of Defense for Intelligence, 323 pages, 1973.
"Realistic Scenarios for SALT Verification." Report to Paul H. Nitze, DOD delegate to the SALT I negotiations, 14 pages, 1972.
Report of the Maritime Theater Nuclear Warfare Working Group of the CNO Executive Panel. Senior author and Chairman of the Working Group, 1982.
"Soviet Military Objectives and Capabilities in the 1980s." in World Communism at the Crossroads, Steven Rosefielde, ED. Boston: Martinus Nihjoff, 1980.
"Military Manpower, Programs, Issues and Recommendations." Report to the Secretary of Defense, 77 Pages, 1980.
"U.S. Naval Forces, Programs, Issues and Recommendations." Report to the Secretary of Defense, 132 pages, 1980.
"Report to the Chief of Naval Operations on the Role of Perceptions and Perceptions Management in Military Planning." Senior author, 182 Pages, 1983.
"Soviet Arms Procurement Strategy in the Eighties: Changed Perceptions of the Soviet Arms Buildup," with Steven Rosefielde. Russia, Fall, 1985.
Soviet Strategic Deception, P. J. Parker and Brian Dailey, Lexington, 1986.
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