Modeling Theory of Change
With Amanda Ngo
What are you trying to do?We want to help decision makers to make effective choices that are transparent and easy to understand.How is it done today? What are the limitations of the current system?Opaque (black box group-decisions) context around allocation of resources and program design to achieve measurable outcomes. Limited transparency create difficult to troubleshoot steps, thus hindering discovery of optimal paths.What is new in your approach and why do you think it will be successful?Our approach uses large language models semantically to recommend process to optimize outputs.If successful, what difference will it make?Find, evaluate, optimize best processes across nearly any outcome, for instance creating better jobs/increase income. The public or other stakeholders that can hold decision-makers accountable.How much will it cost?The estimated cost is roughly $10k.How long will it take?It could be very soon. We may need GPT4 or 5 to get it to the point of excellent proposals.What are the mid-term and final exams to check for completeness?Mid-term exams: Create a generalized/abstracted system that works across a diverse set of outcomes.Final exams: Evaluation and feedback of the model against tested proposals.Who is interested in exploring the working project further?Amanda: I’m interested in helping people build a prototype ([email protected])Kevin: Follow-up with team, gauge interest in collaborating on prototype. ([email protected])