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        Kurzweil's predictions at nanotech conference

        from the blunt-talk dept.
        Senior Associate John Gilmore forwarded a message from Politech about a Wired News story on Ray Kurzweil's talk at the Foresight Conference on Molecular Nanotechnology: "If he's right, exponential progress in science and engineering will allow us to merge with machines. We will become resistant to diseases, think faster, live better, and become transhuman in ways that would make even Superman green with envy…Identifying himself only as a graduate student in quantum computing, a bearded fellow questioned Kurzweil's commitment to humanity, saying 'this is the most hideous message that has been proposed in human history.' But most of the audience — if the widespread giggles during the question were any indication — seemed unalarmed."

        Bill Joy advocates common sense, not banning research

        from the what-happened-to-the-God-part? dept.
        Lew Phelps brings to our attention a Wired story on Bill Joy's talk at the Pop!Tech2000 conference: "Joy said that while such technologies [robotics, nanotechnology and genetics] offer much, including freeing many from poverty and 'grinding physical labor,' there are also inherent dangers. Although some have misinterpreted his arguments as calling for a ban on some types of research, Joy said he is simply calling for a return to common sense. 'Reason taught us how to develop these tools and if we donít use our reason to manage them, we do so at our own peril,' Joy said during his one-hour address." CP: From the conference program, it appears the focus of Bill's talk was spirituality, God, religion, and the soul, although these weren't mentioned in the Wired coverage: odd.

        MIT's Rod Brooks: "strong nanotechnology" = sf

        from the Rod-please-cut-back-on-the-sf dept.
        MIT roboticist Rodney Brooks writes at Edge.org : "Strong nanotechnology, the version that is most popular in science fiction, has molecular machines which can manipulate matter, disassemble arbitary raw materials atom by atom, and build copies of themselves. We do not know whether the physics of our universe allows such machines to exist, or whether self reproducing machines need to use the molecular mechanisms of biology and must be on the order of billions of atoms in size…We have no evidence that non-biological nanotechnology machines will even in principle be able to manage energy supplies, manipulate single atoms in arbitrary ways, break down raw materials, both decode and copy a description of themselves, implement the computational resources necessary to control their behavior, and avoid being ripped asunder by the presence of other nearby matter. We have no clue when we will be able to answer whether such machines can exist, even in principle. Worrying about whether nanotechnology machines might "get away" from us and eat the fabric of our world, or evolve to do so, seems to me to be on a par with worrying about how the world will fare with the screwups in temporal consistency that will occur once we have figured out how to build time travel machines. Another topic popular in science fiction."

        Rhetoric heats up among nanotech researchers

        from the it-can't-be-done-today-so-it-can't-be-done-ever dept.
        Garrison Hamrick points out a Knight Ridder wire service story. Excerpts: "Meanwhile, Dr. Smalley, and many other academic scientists, say that basic research being done today doesn't reflect the original Engines of Creation vision. "I call it the silly side of nanotechnology," Dr. Smalley says. Dr. Vicki Colvin, another Rice researcher, adds that "to a chemist, the idea of a molecular assembler is anathema"…Harvard University chemist George Whitesides [argues] "We certainly cannot build a self-replicating robot at any size," he says. "The idea of building one on a nanometer scale does not make sense"…Dr. Evelyn Hu, an engineer at the University of California, Santa Barbara [opines] "I think what Drexler was talking about, what Richard Feynman was talking about," she says, "is a vision that is still ahead of us with all its positive, beneficial aspects and all its scary aspects." CP: It appears from the article that those attempting to critique the assembler concept are attacking a straw man, i.e. a proposal that no one is making. Note also that the engineer quoted has a sense of time; the others use the present tense only — typical.

        Big excitement in biotech? Nanotech

        from the boggling-profit-potential dept.
        In a Morningstar.com item on Yahoo Finance, biotech expert Cynthia Robbins-Roth advises on investing in her sector: "I think that the big excitement will be in two key areas…The second arena of incredible opportunity lies in the so-far untested uses of biotech to create devices that don't yet exist. Nanotechnology, driven by a molecular understanding of how our cells work in sickness and in health, can lead to the creation of new approaches to cell engineering and transplantation. For example, the only real cure for diabetes will require the creation of a device that acts just like a real pancreas, one that would need to respond on a second-by-second basis to changes in blood sugar levels. Imagine an engineered pancreas that sits in the body and responds continually." Yes, and hurry it up please, 'cause some of us need one now. (Or a heart, intact spinal cord, etc.)

        British Medical Journal endorses open source

        from the when-reliability-means-life-or-death dept.
        Found on slashdot: The British Medical Journal has endorsed open source software. Excerpt: "It is reliable and secure: source code can be inspected for bugs and security flaws before it is compiled for use. It can be maintained even if the developers who originally produced the software are no longer available…Free software concepts make particular sense in medicine: although peer review has its problems, medical knowledge is becoming more open, not less, and the idea of locking it up in proprietary systems is untenable…The European Union has already embraced open source: its fifth framework programme (which will fund 3.6bn Euros of research and development over the next 5-10 years) places a strong emphasis on projects which will yield open source software as one of the outputs. Next week the NHS Information Authority hosts a seminar to consider the implications of the free software movement for its future strategy."

        Kurzweil, Gelerntner, Joy face off

        from the lack-of-agreement dept.
        Ten thinkers argued on future technology last week at Carnegie-Mellon. Excerpts from the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette: The result, says artificial intelligence expert Ray Kurzweil, will be "total immersion virtual reality," a system in which an individual can be mentally transported to another world, or another body, where he can experience imaginary adventures with every sense…The things that are most important to people — families, communities, schools, religion — are only modestly affected, if at all by computers, emphasized Gelertner…Some limits need to be placed on the information that individuals can access, [Joy] said…To prevent the potential apocalypse Joy fears, "you'd basically have to stop all technological development," [Kurzweil] said, and that would likely require militaristic state control.

        MIT's Dertouzos replies to Bill Joy

        from the relinquishment-regarded-as-harmful dept.
        MIT computer scientist Michael Dertouzos responds to Bill Joy in Technology Review , on the call for relinquishment. Excerpts: I donít buy it…So limited is our ability to assess consequences that itís not even helped by hindsight: On balance, are cars a good or bad thing for society?…We are unable to judge whether something we invented more than 50 years ago is good or bad for us today. Yet Joy wants us to make these judgments prospectively, to determine which technologies we should forgo!…Just because chips and machines are getting faster doesnít mean theyíll get smarter, let alone lead to self-replication…Should we stop computer science and AI research in the belief that intelligent machines someday will reproduce themselves and surpass us? I say no. We should wait to find out whether the potential dangers are supported by more than our imagination…We shouldnít forget that what we do as human beings is part of nature.

        Ethical systems: Guardian, Commercial, Idealist

        from the keeping-track-of-our-biases dept.
        Senior Associate PatGratton writes "On a sociological/ethical note… Around the time of the Fall Foresight Gathering, I was reading Jane Jacobs' Systems of Survival and came up with some interesting applications of her ideas to people interested in transformational technologies….When I tried to apply Jacobs' categories to the attendees of the Foresight Gathering, I quickly reached two conclusions: 1) there are virtually no Guardians present within the Foresight membership, and 2) Jacobs missed a syndrome….I contend that the Foresight community is split between Idealists and Traders, and that this leads to a certain amount of unavoidable conflict….Because Guardians are underrepresented within Foresight, Foresight discussions are likely to strongly biased towards Commercial and Idealist views and solutions. More importantly, we're likely to fail to address or to take seriously concerns that would come naturally to a Guardian. This in turn implies that we're likely be underprepared when we take our ideas/solutions to the general public…" Read More for Pat's full post.

        Jaron Lanier Takes On "Cybernetic Totalists"

        from the una-bummer dept.
        SaiyajinTrunks writes "Jaron Lanier has made available what he calls 'One Half of a Manifesto' on the online publication, Edge. It's fourteen courses of good food for thought with a dessert of reactions from big names in the field." (Additional discussion of Jaron's hemi-festo can be found on Slashdot.)

        [I might uncharitably summarize Jaron's argument as "I am right and virtuous, and you are all evil and deluded. Q.E.D." Years ago Jaron told me my "extropianism" was "contaminated by compassion and humility". He seems to still be of the belief that posthumanists must therefore hate humanity. — dk]

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